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HomeMy WebLinkAbout2015 Safety EvaluationAIL CROSSING SAFETY EVALUATION Yo 0 11110110 • CONSIDERING IMPLEMENTATION ALL ABOARD LORI A PASSENGER TRAINS Prepared by Railroad Consultant Group, Inc. 4914 Lake Carlton Drive Mount Dora, Florida 32757 IRC PO#71372-00 May 30, 2015 • - of contents Introduction --------------- Scope of Work Defined TASK 1 Projection and Impact of Increased Trains Exhibit 1A AAF EIS Table for Traffic and Grade Crossings Exhibit 1B Existing Freight Operations and Crossing Closure Times TASK 2 Impact on Safety and Delays from Freight and Passenger on Same Track TASK 3 Safety Statistics FEC v Peers Table 3A Employees Injuries per 200,000 Man Hours Table 3B Highway/Rail Incidents by RR in Florida Table 3C Highway/Rail Deaths & Injuries in Florida by RR Table 3D Trespasser Death/Injury not at RR Crossings Florida TASK 4 Highway Crossing Accidents at FEC Tracks in Indian River County Table 4A Hwy/Pedestrian Incidents with FEC in Indian River County Table 4B Hwy/Pedestrian Incidents Causes with FEC in Indian River County Table 4C Hwy/Pedestrian Incidents with FEC System —JAX to MIA Table 4D Hwy/Pedestrian Incident Causes on FEC —JAX to MIA Exhibit 4E Annual WBAPS 2015 TASK 5 All RR Crossings in IRC, Current Protection v Recommended Improvements Table 5A Grade Crossing Inventory pg 3 pg 3 pg 4 pg 4 pg 5 pg 7 pg 8 pg 9 pg 10 pg 10 pg 11 pg 11 pg 12 pg 12 pg 13 pg 13 pg 15 pg 19 pg 20 Rail Crossing Safety Summary pg 21 Page 12 Introduction Indian River County (IRC) has contracted Railroad Consultant Group, Inc. (RRCGI) to conduct a grade crossing safety evaluation to offer advice on the consequences of the additional passenger rail traffic on the current FEC railroad that traverses their County. The combination of freight trains and All Aboard Florida (AAF) higher speed passenger trains could increase the potential for conflicts at the existing crossings. In the evaluation that follows, RRCGI will present data about current and past events. RRCGI will review future projections and the possible impacts on the County at these crossings as requested in the Scope below. Also included are the Florida East Coast (FEC)/ AAF Railroad's proposed changes for operating freight and passenger on the same tracks with our predictions of the increase in risks. RRCGI's evaluation can be used by IRC to support a pending legal action against AAF. RRCGI will also suggest mitigations to those identified risks so that IRC can make an informed decision on an appropriate course of action if AAF becomes a reality. Scope of Work (1) A projection of increased grade crossing occupancy caused by the addition of AAF passenger services and the impact on emergency services and schools. (2) The impact on public safety and delays to vehicular traffic at grade crossings caused by the combination of freight and passenger trains operating over the same tracks. (3) A review of safety statistics according to Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) records of FEC in comparison to its peers in the railroad industry, including Amtrak and CSX Transportation in the State of Florida. (4) A review of grade crossing accidents over FEC tracks in Indian River County including causal factors where determinable and grade crossing warning systems in place at the time of each accident. (5) An inventory of grade crossings in IRC including existing type of warning system protection and recommend upgrades where applicable. Page 13 Task 1 The first task (1) of increased grade crossing occupancy and its effect on emergency services, schools and the community as a whole, looks at existing data of the number of freight trains today, the geography, operations and surroundings as they exist today. A view of the rail operation with the same parameters if AAF was to be instituted and the projected freight increases, due to increase business by 2019 as projected, were to occur. Another scenario of the projected 2019 freight only business without AAF, was considered. It is important to realize that there are certain aspects that cannot be controlled but possibilities exist to mitigate those aspects, such as an increase in the freight business. This portion of the AAF environmental Impact Statement indicates the number, kind and speeds of trains projected in 2019. Exhibit 1A The Project will increase the number of times fhat each at -grade crossing is dosed to traftic, but closures from passenger trains would be much shorter than closures from existing freight traffic, on average, an at -grade crossing requires { ` _ O-ildS to activate and close the gates, and i 5 5ee a i O to bring the gate back up. r`t Brevard 55 22 bwbn Ower 30 22 St Lucie 20 - 22 Nuft _ 25 22 Pah Beach 26 22 For freW tains (average leng 8,150 feet and average speed approximaiely51 mph), asingle train crossing torahs in an average crossing closure of 155 seconds (ranging from 147 to 170 seconds) Or%',ilii�i%L. For passenger trains (average ienO 725 to tW feet and average speed 93 mph), a single train Diss ng results in an average crossingaosure of 5" 5'wrld's. 538 25 32 gat 17 42 542 25 32 _ 10" _... 17 42 47.8... 27 32... 92.6 3.7 42 44.4 28 32 79.5 17 4.2 %3 25 3Z 892 1.7 42 Page 14 The following chart was taken from the Study prepared for AAF by AMEC in 2013 shows the existing freight operating characteristics and average crossing closures. Exhibit 16 Table 9_1 S Unman, of Fxistinn Freiaht Operating Characteristics and Averaqe Crossing Closures Notes: 1. FRA regulations require 20 seconds to activate and close the gate prior to the train entering the railroad crossing and 10 seconds to bring the gate back up. FDOT uses 30 seconds to activate and close the gate prior to the train entering the railroad crossing and 15 seconds to bring thp�gate back up. To account for the worst-case scenario, FDOT timings were used in this analysis. 2. Maximum crossings per hour includes north -bound and south -bound trains combined 3. 2011 freight speed for Palm Beach, Martin, St Lucie, Indian River, and Brevard Counties was was obtained from Section 3:3.1.1 of the Environmental Assessment for the All Aboard Florida Passenger Rail Project — West Palm Beach to Miami, Florida, dated October 31, 2012, 4. Maximum Delay per Hour calculated as the Total Time to Activate and Clear multiplied by the Maximum Crossings per Hour. Projection of Increased Grade Crossing Occupancy Caused By the Addition of All Aboard Florida (AAF) Passenger Services and the Impact on Emergency Services and Schools: Grade crossing occupancy in frequency will increase with the addition of 32 AAF trains scheduled to begin in 2019. By Florida State Law, each grade crossing closure must begin 30 seconds before the gates close and the train reaches the crossing and for an additional 15 seconds after the train is clear of the grade crossing for the gates to return to their upright, vertical position. This increase in occupancy frequency will be mitigated by several factors: 0 The addition of the second main track through Indian River County (IRC). The additional main track will allow northbound and southbound trains to pass one another without one having to take the siding each time they meet. • On a single track there would be 52 activations but the occasional passing of trains within the same closure, due to double track, there would be a reduction in the number of closures. The total daily closure time would be reduced accordingly. However, this is not a quantifiable number but the occurrences exist and will reduce the number of closures. Because it is not quantifiable, that factor was not used. Page 15 Total Time toTime to Time to Activate Avg. Bring the Activate Maximo and Close Train Time to Gate and Crossings Closure Maximum Delay per the Gate Avg. Train Speed Clear Back tip Clear {Trains {min/ Crossings flour County {sec Length ft} m h} sec} sec {sec} per Da da } per Haur min 2011 Frei ht Palm Beach 30 8150 59.4 94E15 5 139 18 41.6 1 2-3 Martin 30 8150 28.5 1955 240 18 72.0 1 4.0 St Lucie 30 8150 28-5 195 240 18 720 1 4.0 Indian River 30 8150 28.5 1955 240 18 72.0 1 4.0 Brevard30 8150 28.55 240 18 72.0 1 4.0 Notes: 1. FRA regulations require 20 seconds to activate and close the gate prior to the train entering the railroad crossing and 10 seconds to bring the gate back up. FDOT uses 30 seconds to activate and close the gate prior to the train entering the railroad crossing and 15 seconds to bring thp�gate back up. To account for the worst-case scenario, FDOT timings were used in this analysis. 2. Maximum crossings per hour includes north -bound and south -bound trains combined 3. 2011 freight speed for Palm Beach, Martin, St Lucie, Indian River, and Brevard Counties was was obtained from Section 3:3.1.1 of the Environmental Assessment for the All Aboard Florida Passenger Rail Project — West Palm Beach to Miami, Florida, dated October 31, 2012, 4. Maximum Delay per Hour calculated as the Total Time to Activate and Clear multiplied by the Maximum Crossings per Hour. Projection of Increased Grade Crossing Occupancy Caused By the Addition of All Aboard Florida (AAF) Passenger Services and the Impact on Emergency Services and Schools: Grade crossing occupancy in frequency will increase with the addition of 32 AAF trains scheduled to begin in 2019. By Florida State Law, each grade crossing closure must begin 30 seconds before the gates close and the train reaches the crossing and for an additional 15 seconds after the train is clear of the grade crossing for the gates to return to their upright, vertical position. This increase in occupancy frequency will be mitigated by several factors: 0 The addition of the second main track through Indian River County (IRC). The additional main track will allow northbound and southbound trains to pass one another without one having to take the siding each time they meet. • On a single track there would be 52 activations but the occasional passing of trains within the same closure, due to double track, there would be a reduction in the number of closures. The total daily closure time would be reduced accordingly. However, this is not a quantifiable number but the occurrences exist and will reduce the number of closures. Because it is not quantifiable, that factor was not used. Page 15 • With the upgraded track and signaling infrastructure to accommodate AAF, track speeds for passenger trains will be 110 MPH and for freight trains 70 MPH through IRC. Based on current freight train speeds, this will reduce the amount of time that crossings are closed each time a train passes. • The calculation of time that the daily crossing closures of FEC and AAF in 2019, without consideration of any dual passing time savings, is less than the time of the projected 22 FEC trains only at current speeds by 3.6 minutes. • In 2013, the closure time for FEC trains was 4 minutes each. In 2019 at current speeds, 4 minutes times the projected 22 FEC trains would be 88 minutes of daily crossing closure. • In 2019 with the additional infrastructure allowing faster train speeds due to the construction of AAF, 22 FEC trains would take 2.6 minutes for each closure and 32 AAF trains would take .85 minutes for each closure totaling 84.4 minutes or 3.6 minutes less than 2019 freight only. From an operating basis, we would consider the time savings a non -issue. Accordingly, there is no increased closure time from the addition of 32 AAF trains due to the time savings achieved by the infrastructure capacity improvements allowing high speeds. • While the grade crossing closure time will not be significantly different with the addition of AAF, the additional trains will increase the risk of an incident. Measuring this risk is difficult because it involves the human factor in circumventing safety infrastructure, whether in a vehicle or a pedestrian. • What is known is that the number of trains operated through IRC will increase from an FEC only scenario of 22 to a combination FEC and AAF total of 54. Additionally, the speeds of both FEC at 70 MPH and AAF at 110 MPH are a significant increase over the FEC speeds in 2015 of 60 MPH and 45 MPH through IRC. • An additional risk is the seasonality of the IRC population, which is greater during the first and fourth quarters each year in comparison to the second and third quarters. The mitigation of these risks could involve the following: • To deal with the increased frequency and train speeds, the grade crossing warning system at each crossing for both vehicular traffic and pedestrians must have a Diagnostic Analysis. For vehicular traffic, in addition to the crossing gates with flashing lights presently in place, this could mean additional pavement markings with signs that read "DO NOT STOP IN THIS AREA"; increased visibility of do not stop area; on -mountable median dividers in the roadway, and possibly three or four quadrant gates. These measures may qualify a grade crossing for "quiet zone" designation, eliminating the need for the use of train horns except in emergency crossings, a similar process of an increased crossing warning system must occur with gates and a sidewalk across the tracks. Page 1 6 ® Visually gauging the speed of an on -coming train for a pedestrian is extremely difficult. With the increase in train speeds from the current 45/ 60 MPH to 70/ 110 MPH, the arrival of a train to a pedestrian's location will be shortened considerably. To prevent pedestrian crossings not at designated grade/ pedestrian crossings, fencing of the railroad right-of-way on both the eastern and western boundaries of FEC property in urban areas is recommended. ® The seasonality of the population will require an ongoing public education campaign by various forms of media with the addition of AAF and the increased operating speeds of FEC and AAF. Seasonal residents and workers must be reminded of these factors since their most recent memory will be of where they were immediately prior to arriving in IRC. In conclusion: The increase in grade crossing closure time, in and by itself, will not have a measurable impact on IRC and its emergency services and schools. The impact will be a possible increase in risk due to FEC and AAF frequencies totaling 54 versus 22 without AAF and the increase in speeds from the current 45/ 60 MPH to 70/ 110 MPH for FEC and AAF. Additions/ improvements to the grade crossings, pedestrian crossing warning systems, enforcement of existing traffic laws and a public education campaign will assist in mitigating these risks. Task 2 The impact on public safety and delays to vehicular traffic at crossings caused by the combination of freight and passenger trains operating on the same tracks. The plans for AAF include Positive Train Control (PTC)for freight between Jacksonville and Miami and for passenger trains operating between Orlando and Miami. It is common for freight and passenger trains operate on the same tracks as Amtrak has trackage rights over freight railroads throughout the United States except in the Northeast Corridor, which is owned by Amtrak. FEC has extensive grade crossing warning systems in place today, they will be updated during construction and AAF has contracted with GE to install PTC, which will apply to all passenger and freight trains, prior to the implementation of passenger services. The construction specifications of the track infrastructure for passenger service are the same as for freight so FEC and AAF will be compatible operating over the same trackage. Specifications are based on highest speed. FEC also has extensive coverage over its network of Defect Detectors for Hot Wheel Bearings, Hot Wheels, Wide Loads, Dragging Equipment and Impact Detectors to identify locomotives and freight and passenger cars not in compliance with rail industry standards. The installation of PTC by AAF will add to the array of safety equipment for FEC and AAF to maintain a safe operating environment. The ability to operate different types of trains safely on double and triple tracks is common as noted above with Amtrak operating over extensive trackage owned by freight railroads. Page 17 The only time that freight and passenger trains may increase the closure times of crossings in IRC would be when two trains pass simultaneously. This occurrence would however reduce the number of closures for the day and should reduce the total daily closure times as mentioned earlier in this report as not being quantifiable for this analysis. In conclusion, operating freight and passenger trains on the same tracks or multiples thereof would have no adverse impacts on public safety or delays. Task 3 A Review of Safety Statistics according to Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) Records of FEC in comparison to its Peers in the Railroad Industry, including Amtrak and CSX in the State of Florida One of the most quoted statements in the railroad industry is "Safety is of first importance in the discharge of duty." It has been included at the beginning of each railroad's Safety Rule Book for decades. It grew out of an awareness of the hazards faced by employees in working around heavy equipment that could not be stopped quickly due to its great mass. As the railroad industry has modernized its equipment, work procedures and instituted a strong safety culture over the past 50 years, its safety statistics have significantly improved. The rate of improvement has largely been driven by an increase in safety awareness and a strong management/ employee safety culture first on certain individual railroads and more recently across the entire industry. This mentality has grown to include the communities they traverse. It is difficult to compare individual railroads with each other in many ways due to the diversity of geography, climate, and the amount of line haul versus switching operations. The latter is particularly apparent in the more heavily populated eastern United States where industrial growth in the 19th century drove development of thousands of miles of parallel railroads whereas the western railroads were largely developed after the Civil War in the open plains as the United States expanded westward. However, there is one safety statistic by which all railroads can be and are measured by themselves and the FRA. It is the Rate of Employee on Duty Injury per 200,000 Man Hours Worked Table 3A. Since safety statistics are compiled by the FRA on an entire railroad and not by state, FEC, whose railroad operations are wholly within Florida, must be compared with Amtrak and CSX as a whole. For the ten year period in Section A of the chart below that measures the rate of employee on duty injuries, FEC averaged 1.458 injuries versus CSX with 1.149, Amtrak with 3.307, and All Railroads in the US with 2.041. In perusing the 10 -year rates in the chart, it is evident that FEC does have a strong safety culture. It is also evident that CSX has had a stronger safety culture developed over the last 10 years as their rate has improved progressively over that period. Since this study is based on the prospective development of All Aboard Florida, which will be a passenger service entity, the question could be asked if Amtrak's injury rate is indicative of what to expect from AAF. There is no inherent reason that a passenger railroad should have an injury rate higher than a freight railroad. In fact the opposite seems more logical as passenger trains operate more as a unit than freight trains, thus typically involving less switching. In addition, the hours that the passenger services employees working onboard a train are counted in the total man hours worked for the calculation. Since both FEC and AAF share the same parent company, the safety culture should carry over from FEC to AAF. Page 18 The other charts below, Highway Rail Incidents in the State of Florida, Highway Rail Accident Deaths and Injuries in the State of Florida, and Trespasser Deaths and Injuries Not at Highway Rail Crossings in the State of Florida, reflect the number on FEC, CSX, and Amtrak. As a common base for comparison purposes is not available, comparable rates cannot be established. This is due to the fact that FRA accumulates safety statistics on an entire railroad, and because large railroads such as CSX and Amtrak do not maintain divisions at state boundaries but instead by geographical boundaries unique to their networks. While direct comparisons cannot be made, a review of the safety statistics in each chart shows a correlation between the four charts in Florida. From Table 3B Highway Rail Incidents in the State of Florida and Table 3C Highway Rail Accident Deaths and Injuries in the State of Florida for FEC, a Diagnostic Analysis should be conducted at each highway rail grade crossing prior to AAF initiating its passenger services. Train frequencies and train speeds will be significantly increased. The most efficient and least expensive time to improve/ upgrade highway rail grade crossings, such as quiet zones, is during construction of the second main track and the related signaling additions/ improvements. The work can be incorporated into the construction schedule as it evolves, and would eliminate a second wave of work that would disturb and cause additional work for the improvements already in place. From Table3D Trespasser Deaths and Injuries Not at Highway Rail Crossings in the State of Florida, it is evident that residents along the FEC right of way have created their own railroad crossing points, leading to 124 fatalities and 60 injuries over the last 10 years. With the introduction of AAF passenger services and higher operating speeds for FEC, fencing is recommended along the entire right of way on both the eastern and western boundaries of FEC property. Judging the speed of an oncoming train is extremely difficult and dangerous to anyone who so attempts. Fencing on one side only can trap a trespasser on the right of way. A secure fence on both sides will significantly reduce if not eliminate this hazard. Pedestrian crossing gate systems should be installed at each highway rail grade crossing with sidewalks to alert pedestrians to the potential danger that they are confronting. Table 3A Safety Chart of FEC Peer Group Rate of Employee On Duty Injuries per 200K Man Flours Page 19 FEC CSX Amtrak All Railroads 2014 2.362 0.971 3.997 1.832 2013 1.840 0.901 4.090 1.869 2012 2.264 0.728 3.672 1.741 2011 0.562 0.926 3.336 1.847 2010 1.772 1.021 3.244 2.026 2009 1.855 1.212 2.335 2.102 2008 0.303 1.232 2.884 2.102 2007 1.782 1.239 2.684 2.266 2006 0.609 1.471 3.290 2.178 2005 1.234 1.789 3.535 2.444 10 Yr Avg 1.458 1.149 3.307 2.041 Page 19 Table 3B Table 3C Highway Rail Incidents in State of Florida Highway Rail Accident Deaths and Injuries in State of Florida FEC CSX Amtrak 2014 19 28 16 2013 18 28 3 2012 15 22 15 2011 15 23 6 2010 13 28 12 2009 10 25 7 2008 10 30 15 2007 36 29 13 2006 33 45 13 2005 29 49 12 TOTAL 198 307 112 Highway Rail Accident Deaths and Injuries in State of Florida Page 1 10 FEC CSX Amtrak 2014 1-4 0-10 4-9 2013 4-6 3-11 0-1 2012 4-6 2-12 4-43 2011 4-4 1-7 1-3 2010 3-3 2-16 5-13 2009 2-4 4-8 2-11 2008 1-7 10-9 6-9 2007 3-11 6-16 11-39 2006 4-6 1-8 2-19 2005 10-2 1-10 3-7 TOTAL 36-53 30-107 38-154 Page 1 10 Table 3D Trespasser Deaths & Injuries Not at Hwy Rail Crossings in State of Florida Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. Task 4 A Review of Highway Grade Crossing Accidents over FEC Tracks in Indian River County Using the Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety data base, in Chart 5 below, there have been 13 incidents resulting in 2 deaths and 4 injuries involving various types of highway vehicles or pedestrians with FEC trains in Indian River County between 1995 and 2014, a 20 -year period. Automobiles were involved in 8 of the 13 incidents or 62% with 4 autos being struck by a train resulting in 1 death and 3 injuries and 4 autos hitting a train with no casualties reported. Of the remaining 5 incidents or 38%, 2 involved pedestrians resulting in 1 reported injury, 1 van and 1 truck with no injuries reported, and 1 incident reported as "Other" with no casualties reported. The term "Other" in the FRA data base refers to buses, motorcycles, etc. Since individual accident reports are not available through the FRA data base, the type of grade crossing warning system in place in some cases at the time of each incident cannot be determined. FEC was not approached by us for access to these reports. The Indian River County statistics are 3.1% of the highway/ pedestrian incidents experienced by FEC over its entire Jacksonville to Miami route during this 20 -year period as there were 416 total incidents on FEC during this period. Over the entire route, 322 or 77% of the 416 involved a train striking a vehicle or pedestrian while 94 or 23% involved a vehicle or pedestrian running into a train. FEC has an extensive network of grade crossing warning systems in place over the Jacksonville to Miami route, involving gates with flashers in most cases. It would seem that they are being circumvented in many cases as the average number of highway/ pedestrian incidents involving FEC trains per year, for the 20 -year period is 20.8 with a high of 36 in 2007 and a low of 10 each in 2008 and 2009. 2013 reflected 18 incidents and 2014 19, which are near the 20 -year average. In contrast, Indian River County, with gates with flashing lights at each crossing, had a high of 2 incidents in any one year three different times and no incidents in 10 of the 20 years. However, with the introduction of 32 AAF trains traveling 110 MPH through Indian River County, each highway grade crossing should be analyzed to determine what additional safety warning/ prevention systems are needed, such as additional pavement markings, non -mountable median dividers between lanes, and possibly four -quadrant gates. Increased train frequency means the possibility of increased risks. These risks need to be mitigated to protect the vehicle operator who may try to circumvent the existing warning systems. Page 1 11 FEC CSX Amtrak 2014 13-8 9-12 2-0 2013 7-7 11-9 2-2 2012 7-4 3-7 2-0 2011 14-6 8-9 0-0 2010 16-7 12-6 2-0 2009 9-2 6-5 3-0 2008 11-4 8-6 2-3 2007 17-10 12-4 2-1 2006 14-6 12-12 1-0 2005 16-6 13-14 1-1 TOTAL 124-60 94-84 17-7 Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. Task 4 A Review of Highway Grade Crossing Accidents over FEC Tracks in Indian River County Using the Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety data base, in Chart 5 below, there have been 13 incidents resulting in 2 deaths and 4 injuries involving various types of highway vehicles or pedestrians with FEC trains in Indian River County between 1995 and 2014, a 20 -year period. Automobiles were involved in 8 of the 13 incidents or 62% with 4 autos being struck by a train resulting in 1 death and 3 injuries and 4 autos hitting a train with no casualties reported. Of the remaining 5 incidents or 38%, 2 involved pedestrians resulting in 1 reported injury, 1 van and 1 truck with no injuries reported, and 1 incident reported as "Other" with no casualties reported. The term "Other" in the FRA data base refers to buses, motorcycles, etc. Since individual accident reports are not available through the FRA data base, the type of grade crossing warning system in place in some cases at the time of each incident cannot be determined. FEC was not approached by us for access to these reports. The Indian River County statistics are 3.1% of the highway/ pedestrian incidents experienced by FEC over its entire Jacksonville to Miami route during this 20 -year period as there were 416 total incidents on FEC during this period. Over the entire route, 322 or 77% of the 416 involved a train striking a vehicle or pedestrian while 94 or 23% involved a vehicle or pedestrian running into a train. FEC has an extensive network of grade crossing warning systems in place over the Jacksonville to Miami route, involving gates with flashers in most cases. It would seem that they are being circumvented in many cases as the average number of highway/ pedestrian incidents involving FEC trains per year, for the 20 -year period is 20.8 with a high of 36 in 2007 and a low of 10 each in 2008 and 2009. 2013 reflected 18 incidents and 2014 19, which are near the 20 -year average. In contrast, Indian River County, with gates with flashing lights at each crossing, had a high of 2 incidents in any one year three different times and no incidents in 10 of the 20 years. However, with the introduction of 32 AAF trains traveling 110 MPH through Indian River County, each highway grade crossing should be analyzed to determine what additional safety warning/ prevention systems are needed, such as additional pavement markings, non -mountable median dividers between lanes, and possibly four -quadrant gates. Increased train frequency means the possibility of increased risks. These risks need to be mitigated to protect the vehicle operator who may try to circumvent the existing warning systems. Page 1 11 Table 4A Table 4B Hwy/Pedestrian Incidents with FEC in Indian River County Train Struck Hwy User/Ped Train Struck by Hwy User/Ped Killed Injured Auto P/U Truck Truck Truck - Van Pedestrian Trailer Other TOTAL 2014 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2013 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 1 2012 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 2011 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2010 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2009 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2008 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2007 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2006 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2005 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2004 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2003 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2002 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2001 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1999 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1998 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1997 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1996 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1995 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 TOTAL 8 0 1 0 1 2 1 13 Note: Other includes buses and motorcycles Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. Table 4B Page 1 12 Hwy/Pedestrian Incident Causes with FEC in Indian River County Train Struck Hwy User/Ped Train Struck by Hwy User/Ped Killed Injured 2014 1 0 0 1 2013 1 0 0 0 2012 0 1 0 0 2011 0 0 0 0 2010 0 0 0 0 2009 0 0 0 0 2008 0 0 0 0 2007 2 0 0 1 2006 1 1 0 0 2005 0 0 0 0 2004 0 0 0 0 2003 1 0 0 2 2002 0 1 1 0 2001 0 0 0 0 2000 0 0 0 0 1999 1 0 0 0 1998 0 0 1 0 1997 0 1 0 0 1996 0 0 0 0 1995 1 1 0 0 TOTAL 8 5 2 4 Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. Page 1 12 Table 4C Table 4D Hwy/Pedestrian Incidents with FEC System —JAX to MIA Hwy/Pedestrian Incident Causes on FEC —JAX to MIA Auto P/U Truck Truck Truck - Van Pedestrian Trailer Other TOTAL 2014 12 2 1 2 1 1 0 19 2013 12 1 0 0 2 3 0 18 2012 9 0 1 1 0 2 2 15 2011 8 1 1 0 0 5 0 15 2010 7 0 1 1 0 4 0 13 2009 7 1 0 1 0 1 0 10 2008 9 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 2007 21 1 1 1 3 8 1 36 2006 20 5 2 1 1 3 1 33 2005 14 1 1 1 0 11 1 29 2004 16 2 1 2 2 7 1 31 2003 16 2 0 0 0 2 0 20 2002 12 2 0 2 0 2 0 18 2001 13 3 0 3 0 2 1 22 2000 12 1 0 0 0 0 1 14 1999 11 2 0 0 1 5 3 22 1998 10 1 0 1 1 2 0 18 1997 12 1 2 1 2 1 0 19 1996 13 0 7 2 0 4 2 28 1995 14 0 6 0 0 3 3 26 TOTAL 248 26 25 22 13 66 16 416 0 7 11 Note: Other includes buses and motorcycles 13 1 0 2 0 Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. 1 0 0 Table 4D Page 1 13 Hwy/Pedestrian Incident Causes on FEC —JAX to MIA Train Struck Hwy User/Ped Train Struck By Hwy User/Ped Auto Trucks Van Ped Other Auto Trucks Van Ped Other Killed Injured 2014 10 3 1 1 0 2 2 0 0 0 1 4 2013 8 1 2 3 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 6 2012 5 1 0 2 1 4 1 0 0 1 4 6 2011 3 1 0 4 1 0 1 5 1 0 1 1 0 4 4 2010 4 1 0 3 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 3 2009 4 2 0 1 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 2008 7 1 0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 7 2007 19 2 1 8 1 2 0 2 0 1 3 11 2006 14 6 0 3 1 6 2 1 0 0 4 6 2005 14 3 0 11 1 0 0 0 0 0 10 2 2004 10 5 1 7 1 6 0 1 0 0 7 11 2003 13 1 0 2 0 3 1 0 0 0 2 11 2002 8 3 0 2 0 4 1 0 0 0 8 5 2001 11 6 0 2 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 2000 9 0 0 0 0 3 1 0 0 1 7 6 1999 9 1 1 4 3 2 1 0 1 0 5 12 1998 7 5 1 1 0 3 0 0 1 0 1 8 1997 8 3 1 1 0 4 1 1 0 0 5 9 1996 10 6 0 4 1 3 3 0 0 1 5 10 1995 10 4 0 3 3 4 2 0 0 0 6 7 TOTAL 183 55 8 14 14 65 16 5 4 4 85 135 Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. Page 1 13 Web Accident Prediction System (WRAPS) The Federal Railroad Administration's (FRA) Web Accident Prediction System (WBAPS) is one means of identifying a highway/ rail grade crossing's probability that a collision between a train and a highway vehicle will occur at that crossing in a year (Exhibit 4E). On page 4 of the WBAPS for Indian River County below, the second column is titled "PRED COLLS." This is the accident prediction value for each crossing. The two more significant factors in the calculation are the Average Annual Daily Traffic count (AADT) and the past 5 year accident history for that highway rail grade crossing. The values indicate a percentage of the likelihood of an accident in a year. For instance, the value for 20th Street in Vero Beach is 0.066991 or less than 7/ 100ths of one (1) percent. The following are the parameters used in the collision prediction calculation: Average Annual Daily Traffic Count, the number of highway traffic lanes, whether the crossing is paved on both sides of the crossing, the railroad maximum timetable speed, the number of railroad tracks through the crossing, the number of trains per day over the crossing, the type of safety warning device present, and the number of rail/ highway accidents reported to the FRA. The following factors are not included in the collision prediction calculation because of their variability from day to day: sight distances, highway congestion, bus and hazardous material traffic, local topography, and passenger exposure. WBAPS does not state which crossings are most dangerous, but does provide an indication that conditions are such that one crossing may possibly be more hazardous than another based on the data in the program. The formula is based on two independent factors. The first is the basic data about a crossing's physical and operating characteristics. The second is based on 5 years of accident history data at the crossing. Page 1 14 Exhibit E f *R 2 Annual WBAPS 2015 WEB ACCIDENT PREDIC-nON SYSTEM lncLudbig. Prmidgd by. Accident 'ediction Report for Public at -Grade Highway -Rail Crossigs Disclaimer/Abbreviation Key Accident Prediction List Federal Railroad,4&ninistration Office of Sqfe�y -A naly s i s I Highivay-Rail C-)-ossing Stfe& Trespass Prevention Dia Coifudned in tis Rep4XV STAIE: EL COUN—u Y: ENDRAIN, RI N� RAILROAD: FEC DzEtoPF4epar4F& Page 115 ChoU.S. Department ,�� �, DAT or Tray os. tion �I SI1�f G DAY A PRODUCED Y � '` S 1200 l ewJersey. venue; SE Federal afroad Thin Floor -West Administraton (Web Accident Preclkirion System) Washington, X2gGSO r4'8.",FS genwate5 Fv(1 t5 listing lh high A°a} >3II inteiseCtiOnS f . 3 St3tECOWIN, ICa ik:3 n Gr Dict J1 collisions pa y`vas_ Fteserep�Is hJude t jf Ists ofthe Iruertc v fe:c""i 3nd ihce -ccIIj jons a TM -e- 12.i f ` La s alongwith a list�f nta f fusel information.T.n,Sedaa�R ¢pou d Yth,.FderalFadJadA.&Nnt5ratr3n c A; e b A -,o'dB ntPradi•�bnSys ter(VVB.RSi, iAl'BAFIS s a computer model w hieh pr yid the use€ am analytical .may, w hid Mabin2d ,%,Kn other sit€--specftc fnfy- mation, can ass I;t I determining w ha e s cwcs highway -rail grads aossIrig re -sources ca test be ci?ected. This �;mputcg m dell not rank imosings in 1&ms of mos ttoleas t:d3ngwous.. UseofWBAFIS data nthhe mane es s i9co; -c, --,d mist-ading, ` SAPS provides the samereports as KAPS, which is FP As K, Accident Faedicta^ Sy.tem, P 1r' PS l as ofiginaity d�svalpped. as a tooftoa[at lacy entm�cement and loca l efficias of the impaAa n I need to improv ssafe t at publivhirhavay-rail intersections within they jusdictrons. It has sincebecome anmdspenseolesinformation Nesowlmwhnch is helping the FRA, States ; railroads, 0perati n Lifesavesandothers, toraIse the, awarenessofth-epotentiaidanger~atpu`btIi h ig,'Tv ay -f a il inteirs ecticms.TheFC PS 8APS cutp,ut enables State ard local highway and law enforcement agencies identifj public highway -rail --easing locations Which May levuJFe additna{speciali_edattiext. Its.as€tatool ashicrrcap. haused *Istate high4aautli particu ossings which may require Physiealsafety Improvements orenhan em?nts. The WSAFISa ientpr ictiort formala is based upontvl indepa-Ment factors(variables),whi-ch iriclus ss (1) basircdata,about crcss I njs physica I a nd operati ngcharact istiWand �2)froeyears ofavcidEnt hist^ldataatthec,assirig- TWsedataareobtainei fromth FRAsinventoryandaccideriVins htfileswhicharµsuW-rttokeypunchandsunmiissionerras. AIthoughevery attemptis made tofitid..and- ederrc4s;themsstillapassihilitythatsomeeromstillexist. F-rToreous,inacuratearrdnon-current data will after 1+ F— PS accident prediction values, 'Old 1,30 00fl Inventory file :,hams and updates are- vo ntanly Ixovided an nualfy by States, and railroads and prod sEd by FRA into the Hationa l I nvento;_v File, data recxds fcr s pecific cies sfts may notbe comp Meelycmieflt„;lnlytheintended uses{States and railroads) are ieally`kngw"s zhleastohow currsrtth inventoffy�,datas'Wa pastiC lar Stats iailroad; r bcaton: Its tie application dtheoutpLtgdata; 'eiSAF1S-does hot state that spacific cross ingsarethe mostdaAger us. Rather,the 'VBAPSdatagcvidas.an indicatia-srthatcondab s aresu"rhthat panearm,"sing may possiblybe mcreba_xdcusthan anotherbased OP. the spacific: data that isintheprogram: It is only one of many tools, bahichcap baused toassist ndhid l States, failroads ard local highwayauthofftieB'indetermimingoftyreandt tea initially focus attention fc4im Ing Safety° atPUN ichig^vay-raitinter. ecrvns_ WGAPS s= designadtpnominateeressingsfor further evaluaticn taasedonly upm the c'¢tysical and operating Casactef sties of speraft ccossingsas +roluntarity reperte `and updated try tates ;and railroads and five years of a ccident his tay data. PCAFSandVia$;SPSsoftware aresnotdesignssdtosingle outspeciPiccrossings„vit; ut=yrsidesingthe Manyctharfa-dorswhich may influalce aciefentsatesorparobabilfti a.5tatehighwayplanr smay,,,,Tmatnotu ePfr'PSWBfi,PSaccidentI:red lenm ei Some States tai li=e their own ffAmu la ar model tvhi `'r may I”- U de Oth-- geographic and s fte-s p ethic factors. At best PAPS and WELAPS software and daf3nominates� sfngsforfuttheren-the-groundfetiew bykncavledgeablehighwayt4affivGngineersands pepialists, The output infta3rroationsnot theendorfinal pfoduct and the Wo3APSdatashould not be used for non -intended 0ufpow% Itaboufdalsobenotedthat thereare tainchiaderisticsmfaders,&hichare not, nor ran ,included intheWSAPSdatabase. ThaseindLdesi4ht-dstancs,higbw.3ywng�tion,bLraba_ar ua rr erialt�affic itppo apiby a,7dpassengesaxp eftrair c mMciej, etc Be aware that ftAF11SN EAF�S is onlyo �Y model and that other a enf � -,"then molJs whir -h may to used dy states may yield different by just as valid, results fix laMi ng ties s ings for safety i r xaemenrts_ FiraIly, it shouIdbe tvdthatthis database sriot the soleindicatcrofthe nditiondaspecificpublichighway-fail inters eptian. Til AIR.A,FS output must tre-cansidefed as a supplemantto, the InfoTmationneeded tourdert kespedificactions aim ,at enhandng hh�'h'sfiia}+�ailt�".�Sin�Sa$�$y8tti€X1sai�i�:SthY�l.�:. Tli�aL'tI1�21tj`an�fi���i�iv=ntG3appalatc��nt�,"n..-S$?�rV�{}�#flcafyt in-proverrientoT aliminatimpfspecific.aossing5lie-swiththelndividualStates. Page 1 16 U.S. Department 311 lion UBRIVIATION KEY 1200 11 ewJ ersey Avenue, '�-E .1jortal F"'.dZ ailroadhird Floor'Nest for use with INTLAPS SR—oafs Auninistration Vjashinqtnn, DC 20EH The lists produced are onlyfor publicat-rgrade higliviay-rail intersections for the entii:ylisted at the top ofthe page- Theparameters sho%vn are those uszad in the milison prediction calculation. RAJI K- C rossin cs. are listed in order and ranked ti%ith the highest collision prediction 'value I rst, PRED GULLS: The accident prediction value is the proba Nli4r that a collision beta en a train and ahighmy vehicle will occur at the crossing in a year. CRO-SI I I G:'The uniclue sight specifitidentifing DOTIAAR Crossing Inventoryt-lumber RR: The alphabetic abbreviation farthe railroadnamc. CITY. Y. The cityin (or nears which the crossing islocated. ROAD: –1 he game ofthe road, street, orhigWay (if prmtidedl Mere the crossing is located. HUM OF The number of accidents repoited to FRAin each of the years indicated. Note: Mostrecent COLLISIONS- year is partial year(data isnot fo rthe complete calendar year) U nless Accidents per Yea r is `AS OF GECEMBER31,", DATE CH G: The date of the latest change of -the warning device, category at the crossing wbichimpactsthe collision prediction calculation, e.g., a change from crassbucks to lashing lights, orlashing lights to gates. The accident prediction calculation utilizesthree different -formulas, an eachfor (1k passive devices,, (2) lashing lights only, and t�j flashing lights %%ith gates. When a, dateis shown, the collision historyprioTta the indicated year-finonth is not included in calculating the accident prediction value, X10: The type of warning device shown on the current Inventory rid fir the crossing %�ere: FQ=Four Quad Gates; GT= All 011herGeites, FL = 1`13,51 -ling lights; H S = Wigwags, H ighway Signals, Bells, or0thefAcivated;SP =Special Protection(a.g,, a 1agmanj-'SS=Stop Signs; XB = Crossbucks-,IDS –Other Sipse orSignals; 1,10 = RaSigns orSignals. TOTTRNS: Number oftotal trainsperday. TOTTRKS: i otal numberof railroad tracks. be-tmefy the, ViVarning devicesat the cfassbig. BL -1 -PD: T h e m a)� m u m timetable (a 0 a w2ble) we, &d fo r tra ins t h r a u gh the crassi n g. HVNPVD: Is thebighway paved on both Wes of the crossing? A- HVVY LHS: The n u mber a f highmy tra ffic laries,crossing the tracks at the crossing;' A4,DT: The Average Annual DailyT ra ffic count far hi ghvay v --hid as using the crossing - Page 1 17 RA -NK TIPIED PLBLICIHGHTf,'4F-R4lL CROSSLYGS R4.v=13YPREDIC1ED ACCLDEN7.9 PER IT -AR AS OF, 1.2,3112014* year tpaftls I Jc rcifofi},: conno I ate is 'A S NLi MLI'`_'"L-i..' L, t Y "C I -i A, qcmD MA OF -ATE JIN' Fur I 6'r IT 1 140 B 12 11 10 I iitI-N RK �D FM t,-,�,s OL-m-�' 2-2Z:V FL INC194 R,%ER. V:RL ELACH 20 7 H 7.P=, C �11 1 11 11 QT 4 1 45 1i 2 l.fcc 2 2--J�%'W TM 17 INDAN 9PrER VERD EF -Ar Hl -TH ST I C. c 0 OT 24 1 f% IM 2 ?ems e 13- _ wT l 41 2 -,-'E U - ; jtCjAx4 RN,,�7Z V EERO ACH 24= -RD i --ll a IT 24 1 -55 I= 2 A-62 4 2�KIal, F -T It DAN RN'ER V EF -n A 517-D, 0 ^1 c 0 0 GT 14 1 '5.,, -IM I -233-DD 0432Sk', 2721,3-13 x -mc FT- INDIAN R1 32 VF Fn.- MACIT'll Iff H `:T 0 0 0 0 0 GT 24 1 25 IES 4 17.44+3 m &t4 Rwuz Y MD 1-fTH 2T 0 0 0 Q� 0 OT 24 2 65- 4 I'OAN RrljaZ D -RD MA�:F 21ST TI, 0 0 0 0 GI -.4 1 Z 11M 4 '03340 7'- M.W RNER ":PP- MACH �=I= 0 0 0 0 0 OT 1-4 2 5D Ir- 2 ll%oX- Q10.101D 172r-LNE = =FL NIX44 Kv-UZ VE ED MAC- Rl' 0 0 ^1 0 0 91 24 1 -1; IM 3 ,0125424 -272170 _-c F -L INDAN RAVER `,7MO BEAC-h- -IP-D FL a I'll 0 lzr 0 QF -- j � -Im -1 Zrcg Il 1=13n 2l1 Fm FLI INUaN Rr4,,-R SY-1:1 AM -u F=XERE -7, ^, 0 0 0 0' GI :24 1 C5 -IES 2 d'7-54 12 =41,16 27-1M- k 7zc YL INVAN RN,',ER V= =,ACH 2G=FCpZR.D a C, 0 0 OT N 2 d5 Ya, 2 2 Q-3 Mfgr FL ltOM RNIEF VEPDMACH Tk- V,7.'MA'K-RD 0 0 0 0 0 er 2, 14 OIBMN MISIM ---L MM W -M V E FO M4 ZH =H==i 0 0 0 0 0 G7 24 1 4; IYMI 'jt770 i:%, N:32-- =21',7D TL INDW4 RHEA VERDMACH a-L-1ALEps o c o C' o GT '-�i 1 65 2 4,7�7 I- L214 2M—fr,:' Mr MN -4 FU,.f,-R ---, 13 -A,- TT LkN NLALINI ST 0 0 0 0 0 bT,'-4 I E lit -- 2720T ILE INDAN F?JV---R V --ET- MACH 147E.- 4:N E 0 0 0 0 c GT :N 1 25 Ml 24- ls wms& 2m,^,-- -L JN:)j&x Rrv,---R v 0 0 0 0 2 CTT 19 1 5 -im z 19 019935 2711-177V FL INDAN RVEZ -UTH STIRLET 0 0 0 0 S GF 19, 1 45� -IM 2 SSS 2 0,01IQ92 -mrK HL It I OAN RNER YERD aACI-1 3W=PL- 0 0 0 0 Or I -q- I W 1t -s- 4 LIF 21 017 -f -M- 2M,' -V- 11 M,*l RN'19' Vlh—iU MCH SI=LAIN Ep- 0 0 o o G7 1 65'gl 2, L431 Fzc FL INUIAN RNEF VMD M -1-M I UITIR, KH(Z7 0 0 0 0 GI -14 1 ea 147 LIH 0014M 272U3, c ITL INUARfUVER VEM MAZH =H 371 0 0 0 0 0 Gil 22�,, 1 15 TM 2 SO 24 Q01Q 2. 17 YL MAN RN -ER VE-RO M -ICH IKE ARI -RD( r, 0 0 o ra GT 23 1 -5 'M 2 57f il: con -m m MAN y-220 MAM 0 o' o 0, c- Gr 1 s 'ims I E0 16 ,012PO 2 -2 -N -3-S YL MAN RNEER VERO Mk�H F—PST IT I o o o o o �-,r '24 1 5 M'2 '41§ iii 1 l, -W 2272115-X ,FL IND AR Rpi,:IR %-= MAH '%IC=?D;gl 0 0 0 0 0 C77 "14 1 f-, I'm- 2 212 213 '2y DOH 2'n-lrzF FL INDAN RNM VUDMAM IMD= IMIT " 0 0 (17 '24 1 S, IM 1 11 1. OGOLPjD 27,2171B -rc TEL INDAN Rry-,:R VERDEZAZH i:= AFI F.D , 0 0 S, 0 GT 24 1 15 'I'M 2 1; i 1o OOMD FL INDqAN EWER V ERD MACH 4:,TH ST, 0 0 0 GT 24 2-0; YM, 2 44, I n-,3DS;-P =7 3D 3 FL jfV.qj RrVER VEROMkCH CF-krED 0 0 Ol 0 0 CT7 24 1 5 NG 2 ZZ TTL: A-17735 0 1 2 1 0 ril Page 1 18 Task 5 An inventory of grade crossings in IRC including existing type of warning systems and recommended upgrades where applicable Indian River County has 32 grade crossings covering 30 roads and streets with State Route 60 and County Road 512 being divided in eastbound and westbound directions on the 21.2 miles of FEC trackage through the county for a grade crossing every 0.66 mile. Each crossing currently has a grade crossing warning system of gates with flashing lights that is activated by an approaching train. With the advent of AAF passenger services operating at 110 MPH and FEC increasing its current operating speeds from 45/ 60 MH to 70 MPH, a new analysis is required to determine the adequacy of the current warning system and the need to upgrade it with the new infrastructure being constructed to accommodate the increased number and type of trains and the higher train operating speeds. Since AAF has issued 90% Construction Plans for review, there is an urgency to accomplish this analysis so that upgrades can be included in the construction schedule, which will be the most efficient and less costly method, versus having to add these improvements after the completion of construction. The analysis and recommendations may qualify a series of crossings in Indian River County to be designated as included in a Quiet Zone (QZ). A Quiet Zone is a section of railroad corridor where train crews do not routinely sound the horn at rail/ highway grade crossings. The Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) provides the requirements necessary to establish Quiet Zones since the sounding of the train horn at grade crossings is an FRA safety rule with which all railroads must comply. Railroad segments will qualify for Quiet Zone designation if crossing safety improvements identified in the grade crossing safety analysis are implemented. These improvements include crossing closures, one-way traffic conversions, non -mountable median dividers between lanes, additional signage and pavement marking, and the installation of four -quadrant gates. All of these improvements are intended to prevent a motorist or pedestrian from circumventing the safety warning system. The Quiet Zone process can take 12 to 24 months from initiation to completion. The Quiet Zone Establishment Process includes the following steps: • Feasibility Study: A Quiet Zone (QZ) study is initiated by a local government or citizen's request. A diagnostic team, consisting of the Public Works staff, Florida East Coast Railway (FEC), All Aboard Florida (AAF) and Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) staff, visits QZ crossings to identify safety improvements necessary. • Data Collection: FEC and AAF provide train data (including train schedules through IRC, switching and local trains, and train speeds) and Public Works staff collects daily traffic counts. • Quiet Zone Risk Index (QZRI) Calculation: The collected traffic and train data and proposed safety improvements are entered into the FRA's QZRI calculator to ensure that the QZ can be established • Identify Funding: Identify the available funding source with Indian River County Commissioners recommendation and approval. • Complete Design: Design Plans are prepared to include the safety improvements and signage and pavement markings modifications. • Notice of Intent (NOI): NOI and design plans are submitted to stake holders, such as IRC, FRA, AAF, FEC, FDOT, etc. The stakeholders are required to respond within a 60 -day timeframe. • Complete Safety Improvement Construction: A contractor is hired to complete the construction of the traffic safety improvements in the design plans. • Final Inspection: An inspection is done by the diagnostic team to verify the safety improvements. Page 1 19 ® Notice of establishment (NOE): NOE application and as -built plans are submitted to stakeholders. The stakeholders are required to respond within a 30 -day timeframe. It is important to note that the establishment of a QZ does not mean that a train will never sound its horn in the QZ. Federal regulations and FEC Operating Rules require that the engineer sound the train's horn in several instances, such as when approaching people or equipment working on the right-of-way. Further, engineers are permitted to sound the train horn in a QZ if they believe a situation exists that warrants operation of the horn, such as the presence of trespassers or animals crossing the tracks. A QZ is unrelated to other sounds associated with railroads, such as engine noise or the sounds of freight or passenger cars moving over the rails. Task 5 Table 5A Page 120 IRC at Grade -Crossing on FEC in Indian River County Rev 2 Road/Street Name UniversalMile Code Post TTBL SPD AAF SPD Warning System Recommendations Roseland Rd, CR505 272159U 212+2991 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Main Street 272161V 214+2238 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone CR 512 WB 273063H 214+4375 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone CR 512 EB 272162C 215+315 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Old Dixie Hwy 272163J 216+20 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Schumann Dr. 272164R 216+3116 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Vickers Rd, 99 St 272165X 217+3226 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Stratton St 272974H 218+171 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Wabasso Rd, CR 510 272168T 219+3059 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Hobart Road 27217OU 220+3689 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Cemetery Road 2721718 221+2832 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone N Winter Bch 272172H 221+4212_ 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone S Winter Bch, CR 632 272173P 222+1704 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Hawks Nest GC 272175D 223+943 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 49` Street 2721775 224+2199 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 45`h Street 272178Y 224+4945 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 43rd Street 272179F 225+632 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 41'` Street, CR 630 272180A 225+2418 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Aviation Blvd 273047Y 225+3412 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 26`h Street 272189L 227+301 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 10 Avenue 27219OF 227+745 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 23rd Street 272191M 227+1623 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 21A Street 272192U 227+2520 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 20`h Place, SR 60 2721938 227+2920 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 19`h Street 272958Y 227+3245 45/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 16` Street 272195P 228+118 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 12`h Street 272196W 228+3486 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Glendale Rd, CR 612 272197D 229+983 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 4m Street 273049M 229+3982 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone 1'` Street 272199S 230+767 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Oslo Road, SR 606 272200J 231+1651 60/70 110 Gates Quiet Zone Highland, 20` PI SW 272201R 232+4583 1 60/70 110 1 Gates Quiet Zone Note: TTBL SPD — First number is current FEC Freight Timetable Speed and second is proposed FEC Freight Speed after infrastructure improvements Source: Federal Railroad Administration Office of Safety, Washington, D.C. and Florida East Coast Railway Timetable No. 39 Page 120 Rail Crossing Safety Summary RRCGI contacted Indian River County (IRC) based on the knowledge that IRC was preparing litigation against All Aboard Florida (AAF). RRCGI prepared a submission to perform the Scope of Work less item 6, from an interoffice memorandum dated February 24, 2015 from Commissioner Bob Solari. In an email reply dated April 23, 2015, RRCGI stated in part "We pride ourselves in presenting all aspects of a situation/problem with expert advice on how to resolve same." RRCGI looked at multiple sources including extensive analyses already completed by various consultants, numerous Federal Railroad Administration (FRA) reports and extensive data from the FRA Office of Safety, FEC timetables and AAF information available through their web sites. We reviewed the issues in the Scope of Work in light of these sources, and set out to address the issues with data to support the findings, using RRCGI extensive experience and suggesting mitigations to risk factors found. The order of issues to be addressed was changed by IRC due to the delay in issuing the Notice to Proceed and the time constraint of an impending meeting scheduled for May 28, 2015, which now has been rescheduled. Realizing the importance of the issues to IRC, RRCGI moved forward to complete the report for use by IRC. A summary of the findings follows: TASK 1 Projection and Impact of Increased Trains on schools and school bus traffic. It is the view of RRCGI that with the increased freight traffic projected by FEC in 2019, the total delay time without improvements from AAF, the current speeds operated by FEC would result in grade crossings closure of 88 minutes per day. With the infrastructure improvements required for the inclusion of AAF on the FEC corridor and the increased operating speeds for both freight and passenger, the combined crossing closure time with FEC and AAF are 83.4 minutes per day or approximately the same as freight only without infrastructure improvements to tracks, signaling, and bridges. The construction of double and triple main track elsewhere at a higher FRA Class than today, facilitates increased capacity, fewer train meets, means main tracks will seldom be used by standing trains waiting their counterpart from the opposite direction. During the construction all grade crossings will be upgraded to the latest industry technology to meet the higher class of track standards. With schools buses mandated to stop at all crossings and total crossing closure time with AAF the same, no school bus impact or delay is foreseen. Task 2 Impact on Safety and Delays Caused by Freight and Passenger Operating on the Same Track Freight and passenger trains share the same tracks across the U.S. as Amtrak has been operating over the freight railroads' tracks since 1971. Up-to-date train control, signal systems and computerized train dispatching systems make higher speed freight and passenger on the same tracks a reality. Before AAF is operational, FEC will have installed Positive Train Control (PTC) on its tracks. PTC is the most advanced train control signaling system and is under development as mandated by Congress as the result of a collision in 2008 between a commuter train in the Los Angeles area with a Union Pacific freight in which the commuter train failed to comply with a STOP signal indication. According, in accordance with the significantly improved FEC infrastructure, RRCGI can find no substantive risk factors in task 2. Page 121 Task 3 Safety Statistics FEC v Peers Railroad safety statistics cover a broad range of factors and disciplines due to the particular geography, nature of operations and facilities and the size of the physical plant of different railroads. When statistics for the three major railroads in the state of Florida are viewed, they vary significantly. CSX operates a 33,000 mile system in the U.S., and in Florida has many miles though rural areas as well as in the major metropolitan areas of Jacksonville, Orlando, Tampa, and South Florida. The freight only railroad has a diverse traffic mix and substantially more trains than FEC. Amtrak is completely different than FEC with a passenger only operation with four daily trains in Florida. Thus any comparison has to be viewed from this perspective. The one safety statistic that is common across the industry in the rate of injuries per 200,000 man hours, in which both FEC and CSX are among the industry leaders while Amtrak is a laggard as the Table in Task 3 illustrates. Task 4 The tables in Task 4 illustrate that IRC has a small percentage of the overall incidents involving vehicles and pedestrians on FEC. However the increase in the number of grade crossing activation closures increases the risk factor for anyone who attempts to evade the crossing warning system once it has been activated by an oncoming train. It would be difficult to quantify precisely, but the FRA's Web Accident Prediction System (WBAPS) model is a valuation based on vehicular traffic at a crossing (AADT) and the accident history at that grade crossing. With the installation of additional warning/ protection systems, including recommendations such as media campaigns, installation of quiet zones, fencing and higher visibility pavement markings, should assist in mitigating the increased risk. It should be noted that all 13 grade crossing incidents in IRC since 1995 involved motorists or pedestrian ignoring activated flashing lights and crossing gates. Task 5 Current Crossing Protection in IRC and Recommended Improvements if AAF happens. Table 5A provides the listing of crossings and current warning systems at the 31 crossings in IRC. AAF's 90% and 100% plans will show in detail the changes to the warning systems at each crossing as a result of a Diagnostic Analysis in 2014 in which all stakeholders participated. It is our recommendation that IRC request "Quiet Zones" throughout the County. The added safety features will mitigate the risks in our view in the number of crossing closure activations. These closure activations will increase by 32 if AAF becomes operational. Fencing the right of way in urban areas to promote pedestrians crossing at the crossings with flashers and crossing gates instead of creating an unauthorized crossing is recommended. If AAF operates through the Treasure Coast as planned, it is hard to imagine, with the planned significant investment, that AAF would not seek to fully utilize the expanded physical plant, after the initial startup. From a railroad business standpoint, we can foresee additional train patterns that would provide more opportunity for local ridership. Railroad Consultant Group, Inc. thanks Indian River County for the opportunity to serve. Page 122